According to direct political sources the Venezuelan opposition will, in the next few days, provoke violent actions to create a climate to justify the disavowal of the National Elections Council (CNE) if it does not activate the Presidential recall referendum.  It’s presumed that international observers from the Organization of American States (OAS) and the Carter Center will disavow the CNE’s decision and leave the country.

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The Coordinadora Democratica (CD),  OAS and the Carter Center’s actions are in line with recent statements by US Under Secretary of State for Latin America, Roger Noriega, who in reference to the Presidential recall referendum said that “it’s very clear to us that the required number of people supported the petition.”

• There is probable intent to artificially create an “institutional crisis” through the resignation of officials in institutions such as the Supreme Court of Justice (TSJ), the Central Bank of Venezuela (BCV), IRS (SENIAT) and the Foreign Service.

Radical sectors of the Venezuelan Worker’s Confederation (CTV) will push for a public transportation and shipping stoppage to generate instability. There is probable intent to negatively impact petroleum operations through sabotage in operations, platform technology, and reputation and image of Petroleos de Venezuela (PDVSA) ... paramilitary actions in key states such as Zulia, Anzoategui, Sucre, Monagas and the Capital District.

• There is intent to generate instability in the military sector during the repairs process during the weekend.

The activation of US Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) plans in connection with paramilitaries and the media to deepen the psychological war against the Venezuelan middle class. Equally, the CIA will be trying to negatively impact PDVSA operations through sabotage at all levels of the corporation.  The media is creating a matrix of opinion that the violence that will probably take place during the weekend is sponsored by the National Executive.

While the opposition’s coup plan has the objective of generating violence, the National Executive will coordinate actions with CUFAN, the intelligence services and the CNE to guarantee the successful and peaceful culmination of the signature repair events. 40,000 National Armed Forces (FAN) personnel will be deployed through Plan Republica.

A. Characterization of the situation

According to information from direct political sources and State intelligence agencies, radical sectors of the Venezuelan opposition will presumably execute violent actions and ignore the CNE’s decision in the event that the presidential recall referendum is not activated.

The opposition’s plan consists in invoking Article 350 of the National Constitution and calling for civil and military disobedience, wrapping themselves in a mantle of supposed Constitutional legality. CNE and intelligence sources assure that, in parallel, the OAS and Carter Center’s international observers have already prepared a communication to ignore the CNE’s care and legitimacy in the repairs process, removing themselves from the observati